Research

Day-Ahead Solar Forecasting for Energy Traders

1 / 5

Traders evaluate day-ahead solar forecasts with RMSE for deterministic runs and CRPS for ensemble outputs at 12–36 hour lead times.

2 / 5

Improving forecast accuracy by four percentage points on a 1 GW solar portfolio can save about €3 M per year under European hedging and imbalance structures.

3 / 5

EPT-2 outperforms ECMWF HRES on surface solar radiation across the full 0–240 hour range, and EPT-2e beats the 50-member ECMWF ENS mean on both RMSE and CRPS.

4 / 5

Jua for Energy provides up to 24 daily refreshes, native ensembles, and a unified API that removes manual ingestion work for quant teams.

5 / 5

See how your forecasts compare and benchmark your region against 25+ models in under 5 minutes.

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Improve day-ahead solar forecast accuracy, cut imbalance costs, and outperform ECMWF. See how Jua's AI forecasts benchmark across 25+ models.

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